This 'Technique for Envisioning Systemic Effects of New Technologies' helps to make stakeholders more aware of the (unforeseen, long-term) ethical issues at stake.
In this paper we propose that there is a scarcity of methods which support critical, systemic, long-term thinking in current design practice, technology development and deployment. To address this need we introduce value scenarios, an extension of scenariobased design which can support envisioning the systemic effects of new technologies. We identify and describe five key elements of value scenarios: stakeholders, pervasiveness, time, systemic effects, and value implications. We provide two examples of value scenarios, which draw from our current work on urban simulation and human-robot interaction. We conclude with suggestions for how value scenarios might be used by others.